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Sick individuals and sick populations

Geoffrey Rose
- 01 Mar 1985 - 
- Vol. 30, Iss: 3, pp 427-432
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TLDR
Aetiology confronts two distinct issues: the determinant of individual cases, and the determinants of incidence rate: if exposure to a necessary agent is homogeneous within a population, then case/control and cohort methods will fail to detect it.
Abstract
Aetiology confronts two distinct issues: the determinants of individual cases, and the determinants of incidence rate. If exposure to a necessary agent is homogeneous within a population, then case/control and cohort methods will fail to detect it: they will only identify markers of susceptibility. The corresponding strategies in control are the 'high-risk' approach, which seeks to protect susceptible individuals, and the population approach, which seeks to control the causes of incidence. The two approaches are not usually in competition, but the prior concern should always be to discover and control the causes of incidence.

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Importance of gene-environment interactions in the etiology of selected birth defects.

TL;DR: The goal is to highlight the potential gene–environment interactions affecting early embryogenesis that deserve comprehensive study and summarize the complex clinical and experimental literature on current hypotheses of interactions between several select environmental factors and those genetic pathways in which they are most likely to have significant modifying effects.
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Estimating the Effects of Potential Public Health Interventions on Population Disease Burden: A Step-by-Step Illustration of Causal Inference Methods

TL;DR: The authors present a didactic discussion of the steps required to estimate the population effect of a potential intervention using an imputation-based causal inference method and discuss the assumptions of and limitations to its use.
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Weight and place: a multilevel cross-sectional survey of area-level social disadvantage and overweight/ obesity in Australia

TL;DR: In this article, the authors identified all census collector districts (CCDs) in the 20 innermost Local Government Areas in metropolitan Melbourne, Australia and ranked them by the percentage of low income households (<$400/week) and assessed the importance of area level socioeconomic disadvantage in predicting BMI.
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Does social participation improve self-rated health in the older population? A quasi-experimental intervention study

TL;DR: The analyses suggest that participation in the newly-opened community salon was associated with a significant improvement in self-rated health over time, providing novel empirical support for the notion that investing in community infrastructure to boost the social participation of communities may help promote healthy aging.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Strategy of prevention: lessons from cardiovascular disease.

Geoffrey Rose
- 06 Jun 1981 - 
TL;DR: In this article, two types of preventive measures are proposed; the first consists in the removal of an unnatural factor and the restoration of biological normality as the reduction of intake of saturated fats would be in the case of heart disease; the second does not consist of removing a supposed cause of disease but in adding some other factors in the hope of conferring protection as a high intake of polyunsaturated fat and of long-term medication would be for heart disease.
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A Co-operative trial in the primary prevention of ischaemic heart disease using clofibrate: Report1 from the Committee of Principal Investigators

TL;DR: A double-blind intervention trial to test the hypothesis that the incidence of ischaemic heart disease in middle-aged men can be reduced by lowering raised serum cholesterol levels found men with a substantial reduction of cholesterol concentration, who smoked, and also had above average blood pressure levels showed the most benefit.
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Cardiorespiratory disease and diabetes among middle-aged male Civil Servants. A study of screening and intervention.

TL;DR: In this paper, a screening survey for cardiorespiratory disease and diabetes among 18,403 male Civil Servants aged 40-64 years, representing a 77% response of those eligible.
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How well can we predict coronary heart disease? Findings in the United Kingdom Heart Disease Prevention Project.

TL;DR: Although a group of subjects at high risk can be identified, among whom will be a high proportion of potential victims of heart attack, many subjects will be wrongly classified and highlight the need for research to improve the prediction of the development of coronary heart disease.
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British Regional Heart Study: geographic variations in cardiovascular mortality, and the role of water quality.

TL;DR: A negative relation existed between water hardness and cardiovascular mortality, although climate and socioeconomic conditions also appeared to be important influences.
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