Observed 20th century desert dust variability: impact on climate and biogeochemistry

TLDR: In this paper, the authors present observational estimates of desert dust based on pa- leodata proxies showing a doubling of the amount of dust during the 20th century over much, but not all the globe.

Abstract: Desert dust perturbs climate by directly and in- directly interacting with incoming solar and outgoing long wave radiation, thereby changing precipitation and tempera- ture, in addition to modifying ocean and land biogeochem- istry. While we know that desert dust is sensitive to pertur- bations in climate and human land use, previous studies have been unable to determine whether humans were increasing or decreasing desert dust in the global average. Here we present observational estimates of desert dust based on pa- leodata proxies showing a doubling of desert dust during the 20th century over much, but not all the globe. Large uncertainties remain in estimates of desert dust variability over 20th century due to limited data. Using these ob- servational estimates of desert dust change in combination with ocean, atmosphere and land models, we calculate the net radiative effect of these observed changes (top of at- mosphere) over the 20th century to be 0.14± 0.11 W/m 2 (1990-1999 vs. 1905-1914). The estimated radiative change