Rapid and highly variable warming of lake surface waters around the globe
Catherine M. O'Reilly,Sapna Sharma,Derek K. Gray,Stephanie E. Hampton,Jordan S. Read,Rex J. Rowley,Philipp Schneider,John D. Lenters,Peter B. McIntyre,Benjamin M. Kraemer,Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer,Dietmar Straile,Bo Dong,Rita Adrian,Mathew Grant Allan,Orlane Anneville,Lauri Arvola,Jay A. Austin,John L. Bailey,Jill S. Baron,Justin D. Brookes,Elvira de Eyto,Martin T. Dokulil,David P. Hamilton,Karl E. Havens,Amy L. Hetherington,Scott N. Higgins,Simon J. Hook,Lyubov R. Izmest'eva,Klaus Joehnk,Külli Kangur,Peter Kasprzak,Michio Kumagai,Esko Kuusisto,George Leshkevich,David M. Livingstone,Sally Macintyre,Linda May,John M. Melack,Doerthe C. Mueller-Navarra,Mikhail A. Naumenko,Peeter Nõges,Tiina Nõges,Ryan P. North,Pierre-Denis Plisnier,Anna Rigosi,Alon Rimmer,Michela Rogora,Lars G. Rudstam,James A. Rusak,Nico Salmaso,Nihar R. Samal,Daniel E. Schindler,S. Geoffrey Schladow,Martin Schmid,Silke R. Schmidt,Eugene A. Silow,M. Evren Soylu,Katrin Teubner,Piet Verburg,Ari Voutilainen,A. J. Watkinson,Craig E. Williamson,Guoqing Zhang +63 more
TLDR
In the first worldwide synthesis of in situ and satellite-derived lake data, this paper found that lake summer surface water temperatures rose rapidly (global mean = 0.34°C decade−1) between 1985 and 2009.Abstract:
In this first worldwide synthesis of in situ and satellite-derived lake data, we find that lake summer surface water temperatures rose rapidly (global mean = 0.34°C decade−1) between 1985 and 2009. Our analyses show that surface water warming rates are dependent on combinations of climate and local characteristics, rather than just lake location, leading to the counterintuitive result that regional consistency in lake warming is the exception, rather than the rule. The most rapidly warming lakes are widely geographically distributed, and their warming is associated with interactions among different climatic factors—from seasonally ice-covered lakes in areas where temperature and solar radiation are increasing while cloud cover is diminishing (0.72°C decade−1) to ice-free lakes experiencing increases in air temperature and solar radiation (0.53°C decade−1). The pervasive and rapid warming observed here signals the urgent need to incorporate climate impacts into vulnerability assessments and adaptation efforts for lakes.read more
Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Widespread global increase in intense lake phytoplankton blooms since the 1980s
TL;DR: Three decades of high-resolution Landsat 5 satellite imagery are used to investigate long-term trends in intense summertime near-surface phytoplankton blooms for 71 large lakes globally, revealing a worldwide exacerbation of bloom conditions.
Journal ArticleDOI
Global lake responses to climate change
R. Iestyn Woolway,R. Iestyn Woolway,Benjamin M. Kraemer,John D. Lenters,John D. Lenters,John D. Lenters,Christopher J. Merchant,Catherine M. O'Reilly,Sapna Sharma +8 more
TL;DR: A review of physical lake variables and their responses to climate change is presented in this paper, where the authors discuss recent and expected lake responses and look towards future research opportunities in lake monitoring and modelling.
Journal ArticleDOI
Worldwide alteration of lake mixing regimes in response to climate change
TL;DR: In this article, the authors used a one-dimensional lake model to assess climate change impacts on mixing regimes in 635 lakes worldwide and concluded that many lakes will mix less frequently in response to climate change.
Journal ArticleDOI
Ecology under lake ice
Stephanie E. Hampton,Aaron W. E. Galloway,Stephen M. Powers,Ted Ozersky,Kara H. Woo,Ryan D. Batt,Stephanie G. Labou,Catherine M. O'Reilly,Sapna Sharma,Noah R. Lottig,Emily H. Stanley,Rebecca L. North,Jason D. Stockwell,Rita Adrian,Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer,Lauri Arvola,Helen M. Baulch,Isabella Bertani,Larry L. Bowman,Cayelan C. Carey,Jordi Catalan,William Colom-Montero,Leah M. Domine,Marisol Felip,Ignacio Granados,Corinna Gries,Hans-Peter Grossart,Hans-Peter Grossart,Juta Haberman,Marina Haldna,Brian Hayden,Scott N. Higgins,Jeffrey C. Jolley,Kimmo K. Kahilainen,Enn Kaup,Michael J. Kehoe,Sally Macintyre,Anson W. Mackay,Heather L. Mariash,Robert Michael L. McKay,Brigitte Nixdorf,Peeter Nõges,Tiina Nõges,Michelle E. Palmer,Donald C. Pierson,David M. Post,Matthew J. Pruett,Milla Rautio,Jordan S. Read,Sarah Roberts,Jacqueline Rücker,Steven Sadro,Eugene A. Silow,Derek E. Smith,Robert W. Sterner,George E. A. Swann,Maxim A. Timofeyev,Manuel Toro,Michael R. Twiss,Richard J. Vogt,Susan B. Watson,Erika J. Whiteford,Marguerite A. Xenopoulos +62 more
TL;DR: This is the first global quantitative synthesis on under-ice lake ecology, including 36 abiotic and biotic variables from 42 research groups and 101 lakes, examining seasonal differences and connections as well as how seasonal differences vary with geophysical factors.
Journal ArticleDOI
Salting our freshwater lakes.
Hilary A. Dugan,Sarah L. Bartlett,Samantha M. Burke,Jonathan P. Doubek,Flora E. Krivak-Tetley,Nicholas K. Skaff,Jamie C. Summers,Kaitlin J. Farrell,Ian M. McCullough,Ana M. Morales-Williams,Derek C. Roberts,Zutao Ouyang,Facundo Scordo,Paul C. Hanson,Kathleen C. Weathers +14 more
TL;DR: It is found that in Midwest and Northeast North America, most urban lakes and rural lakes that are surrounded by >1% impervious land cover show increasing chloride trends, and many lakes will exceed the aquatic life threshold criterion for chronic chloride exposure in the next 50 y if current trends continue.
References
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
The Analysis of Spatial Association by Use of Distance Statistics
TL;DR: In this article, a family of statistics, G, is introduced to evaluate the spatial association of a variable within a specified distance of a single point, and a comparison is made between a general G statistic and Moran's I for similar hypothetical and empirical conditions.
Journal ArticleDOI
Global Water Resources: Vulnerability from Climate Change and Population Growth
TL;DR: Numerical experiments combining climate model outputs, water budgets, and socioeconomic information along digitized river networks demonstrate that (i) a large proportion of the world's population is currently experiencing water stress and (ii) rising water demands greatly outweigh greenhouse warming in defining the state of global water systems to 2025.
Journal ArticleDOI
Classification and regression trees: a powerful yet simple technique for ecological data analysis
TL;DR: This work uses classification and regression trees to analyze survey data from the Australian central Great Barrier Reef, comprising abundances of soft coral taxa and physical and spatial environmental information and shows how linear models fail to find patterns uncovered by the trees.
Journal ArticleDOI
Local Spatial Autocorrelation Statistics: Distributional Issues and an Application
J. K. Ord,Arthur Getis +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the statistics Gi(d) and Gi*(d), introduced in Getis and Ord (1992) for the study of local pattern in spatial data, are extended and their properties further explored.
Journal ArticleDOI
Lakes as sentinels of climate change
Rita Adrian,Catherine M. O'Reilly,Horacio E. Zagarese,Stephen B. Baines,Dag O. Hessen,Wendel Keller,David M. Livingstone,Ruben Sommaruga,Dietmar Straile,Ellen Van Donk,Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer,Monika Winder +11 more
TL;DR: This work has identified the key response variables within a lake that act as indicators of the effects of climate change on both the lake and the catchment, which reflect a wide range of physical, chemical, and biological responses to climate.
Related Papers (5)
Space observations of inland water bodies show rapid surface warming since 1985
Philipp Schneider,Simon J. Hook +1 more
Lake Superior summer water temperatures are increasing more rapidly than regional air temperatures: A positive ice-albedo feedback
Jay A. Austin,Steven M. Colman +1 more