Cooperative Research Centre

About: Cooperative Research Centre is a based out in . It is known for research contribution in the topics: Population & Sea ice. The organization has 7633 authors who have published 8607 publications receiving 429721 citations.

Potential applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions

Abstract: While seasonal outlooks have been operational for many years, until recently the extended-range timescale referred to as subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) has received little attention. S2S prediction fills the gap between short-range weather prediction and long-range seasonal outlooks. Decisions in a range of sectors are made in this extended-range lead time; therefore, there is a strong demand for this new generation of forecasts. International efforts are under way to identify key sources of predictability, improve forecast skill and operationalize aspects of S2S forecasts; however, challenges remain in advancing this new frontier. If S2S predictions are to be used effectively, it is important that, along with science advances, an effort is made to develop, communicate and apply these forecasts appropriately. In this study, the emerging operational S2S forecasts are presented to the wider weather and climate applications community by undertaking the first comprehensive review of sectoral applications of S2S predictions, including public health, disaster preparedness, water management, energy and agriculture. The value of applications-relevant S2S predictions is explored, and the opportunities and challenges facing their uptake are highlighted. It is shown how social sciences can be integrated with S2S development, from communication to decision-making and valuation of forecasts, to enhance the benefits of ‘climate services’ approaches for extended-range forecasting. While S2S forecasting is at a relatively early stage of development, it is concluded that it presents a significant new window of opportunity that can be explored for application-ready capabilities that could allow many sectors the opportunity to systematically plan on a new time horizon.

Reversible Addition−Fragmentation Chain Transfer Polymerization Initiated with Ultraviolet Radiation

Abstract: Styrene was polymerized under a source of ultraviolet radiation in the presence of certain thiocarbonylthio compounds. Use of 1-phenylethyl phenyldithioacetate (1-PEPDTA) produced well-defined polymers with molecular weights close to those predicted from theory, up to conversions of 30%. The mechanism of polymerization was examined and shown to proceed via reversible addition-fragmentation chain transfer, as opposed to reversible termination with a thiocarbonylthiyl radical. UV-induced decomposition of the dithioester moiety in 1-PEPDTA and 1-phenylethyl dithiobenzoate (1-PEDB) mediated RAFT polymerizations was followed using UV/vis spectrophotometry, 1-PEPDTA decomposed much slower than 1-PEDB. Analysis of the decomposition products of 1-PEPDTA with gas chromatography/mass spectrometry was used to elucidate a possible mechanism for its degradation, suggesting that both 1-phenylethyl and benzyl radicals are decomposition products.

Bushfires 'down under': patterns and implications of contemporary Australian landscape burning

Abstract: Australia is among the most fire-prone of continents. While national fire management policy is focused on irregular and comparatively smaller fires in densely settled southern Australia, this comprehensive assessment of continental-scale fire patterning (1997-2005) derived from ∼ 1k m 2 AdvancedVery High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) imagery shows that fire activity occurs predominantly in the savanna landscapes of monsoonal northern Australia. Sta- tistical models that relate the distribution of large fires to a variety of biophysical variables show that, at the continental scale, rainfall seasonality substantially explains fire patterning. Modelling results, together with data concerning seasonal lightning incidence, implicate the importance of anthropogenic ignition sources, especially in the northern wet-dry tropics and arid Australia, for a substantial component of recurrent fire extent. Contemporary patterns differ markedly from those under Aboriginal occupancy, are causing significant impacts on biodiversity, and, under current patterns of human popula- tion distribution, land use, national policy and climate change scenarios, are likely to prevail, if not intensify, for decades to come. Implications of greenhouse gas emissions from savanna burning, especially seasonal emissions of CO2, are poorly understood and contribute to important underestimation of the significance of savanna emissions both in Australian and probably in international greenhouse gas inventories. A significant challenge for Australia is to address annual fire extent in fire-prone Australian savannas.