Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TLDR
A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.Abstract:
Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Todayʼs virtual water consumption and trade under future water scarcity
TL;DR: In this article, the authors used combinations of Global Climate and Global Impact Models from the ISI-MIP ensemble to derive patterns of future water availability under the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations scenarios.
Journal ArticleDOI
Expansion of Coccidioidomycosis Endemic Regions in the United States in Response to Climate Change
TL;DR: A predictive model of Valley fever endemicity may provide guidance to public health officials to establish disease surveillance programs and design mitigation efforts to limit the impacts of this disease.
The Himalayan Climate and Water Atlas: impact of climate change on water resources in five of Asia's major river basins.
Arun Bhakta Shrestha,Nand Kishor Agrawal,B Alfthan,Samjwal Ratna Bajracharya,J. Maréchal,B. van Oort +5 more
Journal ArticleDOI
Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the U.S. Urban Northeast
TL;DR: Future projections of heat-related mortality in Boston, New York and Philadelphia are presented utilizing downscaled next-generation climate models and Representative Concentration Pathways developed in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5).
Journal ArticleDOI
How hot will earth get by 2100
TL;DR: A new set of scenarios to model the future of the planet is being studied as part of efforts to reduce the risk of climate change and greenhouse gas emissions.
References
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