Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TLDR
A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.Abstract:
Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Uncertainties in extreme value modelling of wave data in a climate change perspective
TL;DR: In this article, a range of different return value estimates for the different data sets is obtained, and the effect of different modelling choices within each of the approaches is explored by applying different methods to particular data sets of significant wave height and two future projections of the climate assuming different forcing scenarios.
Journal ArticleDOI
Sport versus climate: Introducing the climate vulnerability of sport organizations framework
Madeleine Orr,Yuhei Inoue +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a conceptual framework that elucidates the varying states of climate vulnerability a sport organization may face, so practitioners may better understand the risks of climate change.
Journal ArticleDOI
Large Ensemble Analytic Framework for Consequence-Driven Discovery of Climate Change Scenarios
Jonathan R. Lamontagne,Patrick M. Reed,Robert Link,Katherine Calvin,Leon Clarke,James A. Edmonds +5 more
TL;DR: A large database of climate change futures that can support “bottom‐up” scenario generation techniques that capture a broader array of consequences than those that emerge from limited sampling of a few reference scenarios is contributed.
Journal ArticleDOI
Impacts and uncertainties of climate change on streamflow of the Johor River Basin, Malaysia using a CMIP5 General Circulation Model ensemble
TL;DR: In this paper, the impact of climate change and uncertainty of climate projections from general circulation models (GCMs) from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) on streamflow in the Johor River Basin, Malaysia was assessed.
Journal ArticleDOI
Adapting wheat ideotypes for climate change: accounting for uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections
TL;DR: In this article, the integration of climate change projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) multi-model ensemble with the LARS-WG weather generator is described.
References
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Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Susan Solomon,Dahe Qin,Martin R. Manning,Melinda Marquis,Kristen Averyt,Melinda M.B. Tignor,H. L. Miller,Z. Chen +7 more
TL;DR: The first volume of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report as mentioned in this paper was published in 2007 and covers several topics including the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, changes in sea level, assesses the paleoclimatic perspective, climate change causes both natural and anthropogenic, and climate models for projections of global climate.
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The Physical Science Basis
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