Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TLDR
A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.Abstract:
Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
TL;DR: In this paper, a new approach to presenting projections, which should prove useful to policymakers, shows when temperature thresholds might be crossed, shifting the emphasis from 'what might happen' to 'when it might happen'.
Book ChapterDOI
Spatial, temporal and taxonomic variation in coral growth-implications for the structure and function of coral reef ecosystems
Morgan S. Pratchett,Kristen G. Anderson,Mia O. Hoogenboom,Elizabeth Widman,Andrew H. Baird,John M. Pandolfi,Peter J. Edmunds,Janice M. Lough +7 more
TL;DR: The purpose of this review is to compile extensive data on the growth of corals, to relate disparate methods of measuring coral growth, and to explore spatial, temporal, and taxonomic variation in growth rates.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations
Nicolas C. Jourdain,Alex Sen Gupta,Andréa S. Taschetto,Caroline C. Ummenhofer,Aurel Moise,Karumuri Ashok +5 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a large spread exists in both Indian and Australian average monsoon rainfall and in their interannual variations diagnosed from various observational and reanalysis products, with CMIP5 models generally performing better than CMIP3.
Journal ArticleDOI
Range-Expanding Pests and Pathogens in a Warming World
TL;DR: The rapid spread of the Colorado potato beetle across Eurasia illustrates the importance of evolutionary adaptation, host distribution, and migration patterns in affecting the predictions of climate-based species distribution models.
Journal ArticleDOI
Natural Bacterial Communities Serve as Quantitative Geochemical Biosensors
Mark Smith,Andrea M. Rocha,Christopher Smillie,Scott W. Olesen,Charles J. Paradis,Liyou Wu,James H. Campbell,James H. Campbell,Julian L. Fortney,Tonia L. Mehlhorn,Kenneth A. Lowe,Jennifer Earles,Jana R. Phillips,Steve M. Techtmann,Dominique C. Joyner,Dwayne A. Elias,Kathryn L. Bailey,Richard A. Hurt,Sarah P. Preheim,Matthew C. Sanders,Joy Y. Yang,Marcella A. Mueller,Scott C. Brooks,David B. Watson,Ping Zhang,Zhili He,Eric A. Dubinsky,Paul D. Adams,Paul D. Adams,Adam P. Arkin,Adam P. Arkin,Matthew W. Fields,Jizhong Zhou,Eric J. Alm,Terry C. Hazen +34 more
TL;DR: It is shown that statistical analysis of DNA from natural microbial communities can be used to accurately identify environmental contaminants, including uranium and nitrate at a nuclear waste site, and the bacterial strains that are most useful for detecting oil and uranium are known to interact with these substrates.
References
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Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Susan Solomon,Dahe Qin,Martin R. Manning,Melinda Marquis,Kristen Averyt,Melinda M.B. Tignor,H. L. Miller,Z. Chen +7 more
TL;DR: The first volume of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report as mentioned in this paper was published in 2007 and covers several topics including the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, changes in sea level, assesses the paleoclimatic perspective, climate change causes both natural and anthropogenic, and climate models for projections of global climate.
Book
Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors set the stage for impact, adaptation, and vulnerability assessment of climate change in the context of sustainable development and equity, and developed and applied scenarios in Climate Change Impact, Adaptation, and Vulnerability Assessment.
Book
Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a cross-chapter case study on climate change and sustainability in natural and managed systems and assess key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change, and assess adaptation practices, options, constraints and capacity.
Book Chapter
The Physical Science Basis
E. Jansen,J Overpeck,Keith R. Briffa,J. C. Duplessy,F. Joos,Masson-Delmotte,Daniel Olago,B. Otto-Bliesner,W. R. Peltier,Stefan Rahmstorf,Rengaswamy Ramesh,D Raynud,D Rind,O Solomina,Ricardo Villalba,De Zhang +15 more
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The Limits to Growth
TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigate five major trends of global concern: accelerating industrialization, rapid population growth, widespread malnutrition, depletion of nonrenewable resources, and a deteriorating environment.
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