Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TLDR
A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.Abstract:
Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Bias patterns and climate change signals in GCM-RCM model chains
TL;DR: This paper investigated the bias patterns (offset during the historical period against observations) and climate change signals of two RCMs that have downscaled a comprehensive set of GCMs following the EURO-CORDEX framework.
Journal ArticleDOI
Towards decision-based global land use models for improved understanding of the Earth system
Mda Rounsevell,Almut Arneth,Peter Alexander,Daniel G. Brown,N. de Noblet-Ducoudré,Erle C. Ellis,John Finnigan,Kathleen A. Galvin,Nicola J. Grigg,Ian N. Harman,James Lennox,Nicholas R. Magliocca,Dawn C. Parker,Brian C. O'Neill,Peter H. Verburg,O.A. Young +15 more
TL;DR: It is concluded that LULCC models need to better conceptualise the alternatives for upscaling from the local to global scale and better represent the role of human agency in Earth system models.
Journal ArticleDOI
Estimating global black carbon emissions using a top‐down Kalman Filter approach
TL;DR: In this article, a top-down estimation of global BC emissions, as well as an estimated error range, by using a Kalman Filter was provided, using data of both column aerosol absorption optical depth and surface concentrations from global and regional networks to constrain the fully coupled climate-aerosol-urban model and thus to derive an optimized estimate of BC emissions.
Journal ArticleDOI
Global blue carbon accumulation in tidal wetlands increases with climate change.
Faming Wang,Faming Wang,Christian J. Sanders,Christian J. Sanders,Isaac R. Santos,Isaac R. Santos,Jianwu Tang,Mark Schuerch,Matthew L. Kirwan,Robert E. Kopp,Kai Zhu,Xiuzhen Li,Jiacan Yuan,Jiacan Yuan,Wenzhi Liu,Zhian Li +15 more
TL;DR: Global tidal wetland C accumulation is revealed and a net increase in the global C accumulation by 2100 is revealed, driven by sea level rise in tidal marshes, and higher temperature and precipitation in mangroves.
References
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Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Susan Solomon,Dahe Qin,Martin R. Manning,Melinda Marquis,Kristen Averyt,Melinda M.B. Tignor,H. L. Miller,Z. Chen +7 more
TL;DR: The first volume of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report as mentioned in this paper was published in 2007 and covers several topics including the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, changes in sea level, assesses the paleoclimatic perspective, climate change causes both natural and anthropogenic, and climate models for projections of global climate.
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TL;DR: In this paper, the authors set the stage for impact, adaptation, and vulnerability assessment of climate change in the context of sustainable development and equity, and developed and applied scenarios in Climate Change Impact, Adaptation, and Vulnerability Assessment.
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Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a cross-chapter case study on climate change and sustainability in natural and managed systems and assess key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change, and assess adaptation practices, options, constraints and capacity.
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The Physical Science Basis
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