Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TLDR
A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.Abstract:
Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Tropospheric ozone trends at Mauna Loa Observatory tied to decadal climate variability
Meiyun Lin,Meiyun Lin,Larry W. Horowitz,Samuel J. Oltmans,Samuel J. Oltmans,Arlene M. Fiore,Song-Miao Fan +6 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the seasonally dependent trends in tropospheric ozone levels observed at Mauna Loa, Hawaii, over the past three decades have been investigated using a chemistry climate model.
Journal ArticleDOI
Decline in Kelp in West Europe and Climate
Virginie Raybaud,Virginie Raybaud,Grégory Beaugrand,Grégory Beaugrand,Eric Goberville,Eric Goberville,Gaspard Delebecq,Gaspard Delebecq,Christophe Destombe,Myriam Valero,Dominique Davoult,Pascal Morin,François Gevaert,François Gevaert +13 more
TL;DR: It is shown that many populations of L. digitata along European coasts are on the verge of local extinction due to a climate-caused increase in sea temperature, and the possible implications of global climate change for the geographical patterns of the species using temperature data from theCMIP5 are evaluated.
Journal ArticleDOI
Carbon dioxide sources from Alaska driven by increasing early winter respiration from Arctic tundra.
Roisin Commane,Jakob Lindaas,J. S. Benmergui,K. A. Luus,Rachel Y.-W. Chang,Bruce C. Daube,Eugénie S. Euskirchen,J. Henderson,Anna Karion,John B. Miller,Scot M. Miller,Nicholas C. Parazoo,Nicholas C. Parazoo,James T. Randerson,Colm Sweeney,Colm Sweeney,Pieter P. Tans,Kirk Thoning,Sander Veraverbeke,Sander Veraverbeke,Charles E. Miller,Steven C. Wofsy +21 more
TL;DR: It is found that tundra ecosystems were a net source of CO2 to the atmosphere annually, with especially high rates of respiration during early winter (October through December), providing evidence that the decadal-scale increase in the amplitude of the CO2 seasonal cycle may be linked with increasing biogenic emissions in the Arctic, following the growing season.
Journal ArticleDOI
The impacts of climate, land use, and demography on fires during the 21st century simulated by CLM-CN
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors used a coupled-carbon-fire model to investigate how changes in climate, demography, and land use may alter fire emissions, and concluded that changes in fire emissions in the future are controlled by multiple interacting factors.
Journal ArticleDOI
Three distinct global estimates of historical land-cover change and land-use conversions for over 200 years
Prasanth Meiyappan,Atul K. Jain +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a method to implicitly account for the differences arising from these uncertainties in order to provide historical estimates of land cover that are consistent with satellite estimates for recent years.
References
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Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Susan Solomon,Dahe Qin,Martin R. Manning,Melinda Marquis,Kristen Averyt,Melinda M.B. Tignor,H. L. Miller,Z. Chen +7 more
TL;DR: The first volume of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report as mentioned in this paper was published in 2007 and covers several topics including the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, changes in sea level, assesses the paleoclimatic perspective, climate change causes both natural and anthropogenic, and climate models for projections of global climate.
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