Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TLDR
A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.Abstract:
Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community.read more
Citations
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MonographDOI
Birds and Climate Change: Impacts and Conservation Responses
TL;DR: A review of the existing impacts of climate change on birds, including changes in the timing of migration and breeding and effects on bird populations around the world can be found in this article.
Journal ArticleDOI
Potential impacts of climate change on European wind energy resource under the CMIP5 future climate projections
TL;DR: In this article, climate change impact on future European large-scale wind energy resource under the latest IPCC CMIP5 future climate projections were analyzed. And the authors used a multi-model ensemble composed by the models that showed the best ability to represent contemporary near-surface wind speeds over Europe.
Journal ArticleDOI
Climatic effects of 1950–2050 changes in US anthropogenic aerosols – Part 2: Climate response
Eric M. Leibensperger,Eric M. Leibensperger,Loretta J. Mickley,Daniel J. Jacob,Wei-Ting Chen,John H. Seinfeld,Athanasios Nenes,Peter Adams,David G. Streets,Naresh Kumar,D. Rind +10 more
TL;DR: This paper investigated the climate response to changing US anthropogenic aerosol sources over the 1950-2050 period by using the NASA GISS general circulation model (GCM) and comparing to observed US temperature trends.
Journal ArticleDOI
Scenarios as a scholarly methodology to produce “interesting research”
TL;DR: It is found that when scenarios are used as a scholarly methodology involving iterations and revisions, they help to challenge existing assumptions, identify novel lines of inquiry, and enable new research opportunities to emerge, opening up a research mode that helps engaged scholars to make sense of and address complex and uncertain contexts and produce interesting findings.
Journal ArticleDOI
2°C and SDGs: united they stand, divided they fall?
Christoph von Stechow,Christoph von Stechow,Jan C. Minx,Jan C. Minx,Keywan Riahi,Keywan Riahi,Jessica Jewell,David L. McCollum,Max Callaghan,Christoph Bertram,Gunnar Luderer,Giovanni Baiocchi +11 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyzed the synergies and risk trade-offs of alternative 2 °C pathways across indicators relevant for energy-related SDGs and sustainable energy objectives and found that limiting the availability of key mitigation technologies yields some co-benefits and decreases risks specific to these technologies but greatly increases many others.
References
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Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Susan Solomon,Dahe Qin,Martin R. Manning,Melinda Marquis,Kristen Averyt,Melinda M.B. Tignor,H. L. Miller,Z. Chen +7 more
TL;DR: The first volume of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report as mentioned in this paper was published in 2007 and covers several topics including the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, changes in sea level, assesses the paleoclimatic perspective, climate change causes both natural and anthropogenic, and climate models for projections of global climate.
Book
Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors set the stage for impact, adaptation, and vulnerability assessment of climate change in the context of sustainable development and equity, and developed and applied scenarios in Climate Change Impact, Adaptation, and Vulnerability Assessment.
Book
Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a cross-chapter case study on climate change and sustainability in natural and managed systems and assess key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change, and assess adaptation practices, options, constraints and capacity.
Book Chapter
The Physical Science Basis
E. Jansen,J Overpeck,Keith R. Briffa,J. C. Duplessy,F. Joos,Masson-Delmotte,Daniel Olago,B. Otto-Bliesner,W. R. Peltier,Stefan Rahmstorf,Rengaswamy Ramesh,D Raynud,D Rind,O Solomina,Ricardo Villalba,De Zhang +15 more
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The Limits to Growth
TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigate five major trends of global concern: accelerating industrialization, rapid population growth, widespread malnutrition, depletion of nonrenewable resources, and a deteriorating environment.
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