Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TLDR
A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.Abstract:
Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Climate Data Challenges in the 21st Century
TL;DR: A new paradigm of more open, user-friendly data access is needed to ensure that society can reduce vulnerability to climate variability and change, while at the same time exploiting opportunities that will occur.
Journal ArticleDOI
Chemistry and the Linkages between Air Quality and Climate Change.
Erika von Schneidemesser,Paul S. Monks,James Allan,Lori Bruhwiler,Piers M. Forster,David Fowler,Axel Lauer,William T. Morgan,Pauli Paasonen,Mattia Righi,Katerina Sindelarova,Katerina Sindelarova,Mark A. Sutton +12 more
TL;DR: The most recent synthesis of climate change research as presented in the fifth IPCC Assessment Report (AR5) states that the warming of the climate system is unequivocal, recognizing the dominant cause as human influence, and providing evidence for a 43% higher total anthropogenic radiative forcing than was reported in 2005 from the previous assessment report.
Journal ArticleDOI
A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years: An update from CMIP5 models
Muyin Wang,James E. Overland +1 more
TL;DR: Wang et al. as mentioned in this paper applied the same technique of model selection and extrapolation approach to CMIP5 as they used in their previous paper, and showed that the interval range for a nearly sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years is 14 to 36 years, with a median value of 28 years.
Journal ArticleDOI
A new scenario framework for climate change research : the concept of shared climate policy assumptions
Elmar Kriegler,Jae Edmonds,Stephane Hallegatte,Kristie L. Ebi,Tom Kram,Keywan Riahi,Harald Winkler,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren +8 more
TL;DR: The concept of shared climate policy assumptions is presented as an important element of the new scenario framework that facilitates the coupling of multiple socioeconomic reference pathways with climate model products using the representative concentration pathways to improve assessment of climate impacts, adaptation and mitigation.
Journal ArticleDOI
Marine Ecosystem Dynamics and Biogeochemical Cycling in the Community Earth System Model [CESM1(BGC)]: Comparison of the 1990s with the 2090s under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 Scenarios
TL;DR: The authors compare Community Earth System Model results to marine observations for the 1990s and examine climate change impacts on biogeochemistry at the end of the twenty-first century under two future scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).
References
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Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Susan Solomon,Dahe Qin,Martin R. Manning,Melinda Marquis,Kristen Averyt,Melinda M.B. Tignor,H. L. Miller,Z. Chen +7 more
TL;DR: The first volume of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report as mentioned in this paper was published in 2007 and covers several topics including the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, changes in sea level, assesses the paleoclimatic perspective, climate change causes both natural and anthropogenic, and climate models for projections of global climate.
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The Physical Science Basis
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