Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TLDR
A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.Abstract:
Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Climate change enhances the severity and variability of drought in the Pearl River Basin in South China in the 21st century
TL;DR: In this article, the authors evaluated the spatiotemporal variation of future drought (2016-2100) in the Pearl River Basin (PRB) using the Palmer drought severity index (PDSI), the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model, and future climate projections based on the general circulation models (GCMs) from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) under three representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios.
Journal ArticleDOI
Assessment of future drought in Southwest China based on CMIP5 multimodel projections
TL;DR: In this paper, a series of severe and extensive droughts have swept across Southwest China, resulting in tremendous economic losses, deaths, and disruption to society, and the paramount importance of assessing future changes in drought in Southwest China.
Journal ArticleDOI
Fast growing research on negative emissions
TL;DR: This paper used scientometric methods and topic modeling to identify and characterize the available evidence on negative emission technologies (NETs) as recorded in the Web of Science and found that the development of the literature on NETs has started later than for climate change as a whole, but proceeds more quickly by now.
Journal ArticleDOI
Projections of Future Precipitation Extremes Over Europe: A Multimodel Assessment of Climate Simulations
Jan Rajczak,Christoph Schär +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, an extensive multimodel ensemble of 12 and 50 km resolution EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Models (RCMs) forced by RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 (Representative Concentration Pathway) aerosol and greenhouse gas emission scenarios is analyzed.
Journal ArticleDOI
East Asian monsoon change for the 21st century: Results of CMIP3 and CMIP5 models
Dabang Jiang,Zhiping Tian +1 more
TL;DR: The results of the Coupled model intercomparison project as mentioned in this paper showed that the East Asian winter monsoon changes little over time as a whole relative to the reference period 1980-1999.
References
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Susan Solomon,Dahe Qin,Martin R. Manning,Melinda Marquis,Kristen Averyt,Melinda M.B. Tignor,H. L. Miller,Z. Chen +7 more
TL;DR: The first volume of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report as mentioned in this paper was published in 2007 and covers several topics including the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, changes in sea level, assesses the paleoclimatic perspective, climate change causes both natural and anthropogenic, and climate models for projections of global climate.
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