Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TLDR
A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.Abstract:
Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
The ACCESS coupled model: documentation of core CMIP5 simulations and initial results
Martin Dix,Peter Vohralik,Dave Bi,Harun Rashid,Simon J. Marsland,Siobhan O'Farrell,Petteri Uotila,Tony Hirst,Eva Kowalczyk,Arnold Sullivan,Hailin Yan,Charmaine Franklin,Zhian Sun,Ian Watterson,Mark Collier,Julie Noonan,Leon D. Rotstayn,Lauren Stevens,Peter Uhe,K. Puri +19 more
TL;DR: Martin Dix1, Peter Vohralik2, Daohua Bi1, Harun Rashid1, Simon Marsland1, Siobhan O'Farrell1, Petteri Uotila1, Tony Hirst1, Eva Kowalczyk1, Arnold Sullivan1, Hailin Yan1, Charmaine Franklin1, Zhian Sun3, Ian Watterson1, Mark Collier1, Julie Noonan1, Leon Rotstayn1, Lauren Stevens1,Peter Uhe1 and Kamal Puri3 1Centre
Journal ArticleDOI
Observed changes in dry-season water availability attributed to human-induced climate change
Ryan S. Padrón,Lukas Gudmundsson,Bertrand Decharme,Agnès Ducharne,David M. Lawrence,Jiafu Mao,Daniele Peano,Gerhard Krinner,Hyungjun Kim,Sonia I. Seneviratne +9 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors employ data-driven and land-surface models to produce observation-based global reconstructions of water availability from 1902 to 2014, a period during which our planet experienced a global warming of approximately 1°C.
Journal ArticleDOI
Global change in streamflow extremes under climate change over the 21st century
Behzad Asadieh,Nir Y. Krakauer +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyzed the changes in streamflow distribution and simultaneous vulnerability to different types of hydrological risk in different regions using an ensemble of bias-corrected global climate model (GCM) fields fed into different Global Hydrological Models (GHMs) provided by the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP).
Journal ArticleDOI
A topography of climate change research
TL;DR: The authors used topic modeling to map the climate change literature, and assess how well it is represented in IPCC reports, finding that the social sciences are in fact overrepresented in recent assessment reports, whereas technical, solutions-relevant knowledge is underrepresented.
Journal ArticleDOI
Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP
J. C. S. Davie,Pete Falloon,Ron Kahana,Rutger Dankers,Richard Betts,Felix T. Portmann,Felix T. Portmann,Dominik Wisser,Douglas B. Clark,Akihiko Ito,Yoshimitsu Masaki,Kazuya Nishina,Balázs M. Fekete,Z. D. Tessler,Yoshihide Wada,Xingcai Liu,Qiuhong Tang,Stefan Hagemann,Tobias Stacke,Ryan Pavlick,Sibyll Schaphoff,Simon N. Gosling,Wietse Franssen,Nigel W. Arnell +23 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the impact of CO2 on runoff change from a baseline period (1981-2010) to the future (2070-2099) from 12 impacts models which contributed to the hydrological and biomes sectors of ISI-MIP were studied.
References
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Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Susan Solomon,Dahe Qin,Martin R. Manning,Melinda Marquis,Kristen Averyt,Melinda M.B. Tignor,H. L. Miller,Z. Chen +7 more
TL;DR: The first volume of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report as mentioned in this paper was published in 2007 and covers several topics including the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, changes in sea level, assesses the paleoclimatic perspective, climate change causes both natural and anthropogenic, and climate models for projections of global climate.
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Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors set the stage for impact, adaptation, and vulnerability assessment of climate change in the context of sustainable development and equity, and developed and applied scenarios in Climate Change Impact, Adaptation, and Vulnerability Assessment.
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Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a cross-chapter case study on climate change and sustainability in natural and managed systems and assess key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change, and assess adaptation practices, options, constraints and capacity.
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The Physical Science Basis
E. Jansen,J Overpeck,Keith R. Briffa,J. C. Duplessy,F. Joos,Masson-Delmotte,Daniel Olago,B. Otto-Bliesner,W. R. Peltier,Stefan Rahmstorf,Rengaswamy Ramesh,D Raynud,D Rind,O Solomina,Ricardo Villalba,De Zhang +15 more
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The Limits to Growth
TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigate five major trends of global concern: accelerating industrialization, rapid population growth, widespread malnutrition, depletion of nonrenewable resources, and a deteriorating environment.
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