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Journal ArticleDOI

Estimation of potential global pandemic influenza mortality on the basis of vital registry data from the 1918–20 pandemic: a quantitative analysis

Christopher J L Murray, +4 more
- 23 Dec 2006 - 
- Vol. 368, Iss: 9554, pp 2211-2218
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TLDR
This analysis of the empirical record of the 1918-20 pandemic provides a plausible upper bound on pandemic mortality, indicating that most deaths will occur in poor countries--ie, in societies whose scarce health resources are already stretched by existing health priorities.
About: 
This article is published in The Lancet.The article was published on 2006-12-23. It has received 572 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Mortality rate & Pandemic.

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Citations
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Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Haidong Wang, +844 more
- 08 Oct 2016 - 
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Disease 2015 Study provides a comprehensive assessment of all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015, finding several countries in sub-Saharan Africa had very large gains in life expectancy, rebounding from an era of exceedingly high loss of life due to HIV/AIDS.
Journal ArticleDOI

Scaling regression inputs by dividing by two standard deviations.

Andrew Gelman
- 10 Jul 2008 - 
TL;DR: This work recommends rescaling as a default option--an improvement upon the usual approach of including variables in whatever way they are coded in the data file--so that the magnitudes of coefficients can be directly compared as a matter of routine statistical practice.
Journal ArticleDOI

Estimated global mortality associated with the first 12 months of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus circulation: a modelling study

Fatimah S. Dawood, +32 more
- 01 Sep 2012 - 
TL;DR: The global number of deaths during the first 12 months of virus circulation in each country and the estimate of respiratory and cardiovascular mortality associated with the 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 was 15 times higher than reported laboratory-confirmed deaths.
Journal ArticleDOI

Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories

Kyle J Foreman, +37 more
- 10 Nov 2018 - 
TL;DR: A novel approach to modelling life expectancy, all-cause mortality and cause of death forecasts —and alternative future scenarios—for 250 causes of death from 2016 to 2040 in 195 countries and territories is provided.
Journal ArticleDOI

The COVID-19 pandemic and health inequalities.

Clare Bambra, +3 more
- 01 Nov 2020 - 
TL;DR: The potential consequences for health inequalities of the lockdown measures implemented internationally as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic are explored, focusing on the likely unequal impacts of the economic crisis.
References
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The World Health Report 2000

Joseph S. Coyne, +1 more
Journal ArticleDOI

CLARIFY: Software for Interpreting and Presenting Statistical Results

Michael Tomz, +2 more
- 15 Jan 2003 - 
TL;DR: Clarify is a program that uses Monte Carlo simulation to convert the raw output of statistical procedures into results that are of direct interest to researchers, without changing statistical assumptions or requiring new statistical models.
Journal ArticleDOI

Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia

Neil M. Ferguson, +7 more
- 08 Sep 2005 - 
TL;DR: A simulation model of influenza transmission in Southeast Asia is used and it is shown that elimination of a nascent pandemic may be feasible using a combination of geographically targeted prophylaxis and social distancing measures, if the basic reproduction number of the new virus is below 1.8.
Book

The World Economy: Historical Statistics

Angus Maddison
Journal ArticleDOI

Updating the Accounts: Global Mortality of the 1918-1920 "Spanish" Influenza Pandemic

Niall Johnson, +1 more
- 01 Mar 2002 - 
TL;DR: The estimated global mortality of the pandemic was of the order of 50 million, and it must be acknowledged that even this vast figure may be substantially lower than the real toll, perhaps as much as 100 percent understated.
Related Papers (5)

Updating the Accounts: Global Mortality of the 1918-1920 "Spanish" Influenza Pandemic

Niall Johnson, +1 more
- 01 Mar 2002 - 

1918 Influenza: the Mother of All Pandemics

Jeffery K. Taubenberger, +1 more
- 01 Jan 2006 - 

Pandemic versus Epidemic Influenza Mortality: A Pattern of Changing Age Distribution

Lone Simonsen, +5 more
- 01 Jul 1998 - 

Predominant Role of Bacterial Pneumonia as a Cause of Death in Pandemic Influenza: Implications for Pandemic Influenza Preparedness

David M. Morens, +2 more
- 01 Oct 2008 - 

The effect of public health measures on the 1918 influenza pandemic in U.S. cities

Martin C. J. Bootsma, +1 more
- 01 May 2007 -