Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Marc Lipsitch,Ted Cohen,Ben S. Cooper,James M. Robins,Stefan Ma,Lyn James,Gowri Gopalakrishna,Suok Kai Chew,Chorh Chuan Tan,Matthew H. Samore,David N. Fisman,Megan Murray +11 more
TLDR
It is estimated that a single infectious case of SARS will infect about three secondary cases in a population that has not yet instituted control measures, and public-health efforts to reduce transmission are expected to have a substantial impact on reducing the size of the epidemic.Abstract:
Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a recently described illness of humans that has spread widely over the past 6 months. With the use of detailed epidemiologic data from Singapore and epidemic curves from other settings, we estimated the reproductive number for SARS in the absence of interventions and in the presence of control efforts. We estimate that a single infectious case of SARS will infect about three secondary cases in a population that has not yet instituted control measures. Public-health efforts to reduce transmission are expected to have a substantial impact on reducing the size of the epidemic.read more
Citations
More filters
Posted ContentDOI
Mitigating the transmission of infection and death due to SARS-CoV-2 through non-pharmaceutical interventions and repurposing drugs
TL;DR: It is shown that India can significantly improve the overall Covid-19 epidemic burden through the combined use of NPIs and repurposing drugs though containment of spreading is difficult without serious community participation.
Supporting Online Material for Epidemic Dynamics at the Human-Animal Interface
Journal ArticleDOI
A Methodology for Determining Which Diseases Warrant Care in a High-Level Containment Care Unit.
TL;DR: A construct designed to make determinations about additional diseases that might warrant high-level containment care is proposed, namely that they lack effective and available licensed countermeasures.
Journal ArticleDOI
Early Prediction of Coronavirus Disease Epidemic Severity in the Contiguous United States Based on Deep Learning
I-Hsi Kao,Jau-Woei Perng +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, a convolutional autoencoder with long short-term memory (LSTM) was used to predict the spread of coronavirus disease in the United States.
Journal ArticleDOI
Quantifying the impact of temperature variation on birnavirus transmission dynamics in hard clams Meretrix lusoria.
TL;DR: A deterministic susceptible-infectious-mortality (SIM) model was used to derive temperature-dependent key epidemiologic parameters based on data sets of viral infections in hard clams subjected to acute temperature changes and found that by limiting pond water temperature to 25-30°C, it is better to remove hard clam from June and August to reduce both mortality rate and spread of BV.
References
More filters
Book
Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control
Roy M. Anderson,Robert M. May +1 more
TL;DR: This book discusses the biology of host-microparasite associations, dynamics of acquired immunity heterogeneity within the human community indirectly transmitted helminths, and the ecology and genetics of hosts and parasites.
Journal ArticleDOI
Identification of a novel coronavirus in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome.
Christian Drosten,Stephan Günther,Wolfgang Preiser,Sylvie van der Werf,H. R. Brodt,Stephan Becker,Holger F. Rabenau,Marcus Panning,Larissa Kolesnikova,Ron A. M. Fouchier,Annemarie Berger,Ana-Maria Burguière,Jindrich Cinatl,Markus Eickmann,Nicolas Escriou,Klaus Grywna,Stefanie Kramme,Jean-Claude Manuguerra,Stefanie Müller,Volker Rickerts,Martin Stürmer,Simon Vieth,Hans-Dieter Klenk,Albert D. M. E. Osterhaus,Herbert Schmitz,Hans Wilhelm Doerr +25 more
TL;DR: The novel coronavirus might have a role in causing SARS and was detected in a variety of clinical specimens from patients with SARS but not in controls.
Journal ArticleDOI
A novel coronavirus associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome.
Thomas G. Ksiazek,Dean D. Erdman,Cynthia S. Goldsmith,Zaki,Teresa C. T. Peret,Shannon L. Emery,Suxiang Tong,Urbani C,James A. Comer,Wilina Lim,Pierre E. Rollin,Scott F. Dowell,Ai Ee Ling,Charles D. Humphrey,Wun-Ju Shieh,Jeannette Guarner,Christopher D. Paddock,Paul A. Rota,Barry S. Fields,Joseph L. DeRisi,Jyh-Yuan Yang,Nancy J. Cox,James M. Hughes,James W. LeDuc,William J. Bellini,Larry J. Anderson +25 more
TL;DR: A novel coronavirus is associated with this outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome, and the evidence indicates that this virus has an etiologic role in SARS.
Book
A first course in stochastic processes
Samuel Karlin,Howard M. Taylor +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the Basic Limit Theorem of Markov Chains and its applications are discussed and examples of continuous time Markov chains are presented. But they do not cover the application of continuous-time Markov chain in matrix analysis.
Journal ArticleDOI
Seasonal variation in host susceptibility and cycles of certain infectious diseases.
TL;DR: Ample evidence indicates that photoperiod-driven physiologic changes are typical in mammalian species, including some in humans, and underlie human resistance to infectious diseases for large portions of the year and the changes can be identified and modified, the therapeutic and preventive implications may be considerable.
Related Papers (5)
Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia.
Qun Li,Xuhua Guan,Peng Wu,Xiaoye Wang,Lei Zhou,Yeqing Tong,Ruiqi Ren,Kathy Leung,Eric H. Y. Lau,Jessica Y. Wong,Xuesen Xing,Nijuan Xiang,Yang Wu,Chao Li,Chen Qi,Dan Li,Tian Liu,Jing Zhao,Man Liu,Wenxiao Tu,Chuding Chen,Lianmei Jin,Rui Yang,Qi Wang,Suhua Zhou,Rui Wang,Hui Liu,Yingbo Luo,Yuan Liu,Ge Shao,Huan Li,Zhongfa Tao,Yang Yang,Yang Yang,Zhiqiang Deng,Boxi Liu,Zhitao Ma,Yanping Zhang,Guoqing Shi,Tommy Tsan-Yuk Lam,Joseph T. Wu,George F. Gao,George F. Gao,Benjamin J. Cowling,Bo Yang,Gabriel M. Leung,Zijian Feng +46 more
Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study.
Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China
Chaolin Huang,Yeming Wang,Xingwang Li,Lili Ren,Jianping Zhao,Yi Hu,Li Zhang,Guohui Fan,Jiuyang Xu,Xiaoying Gu,Zhenshun Cheng,Ting Yu,Jia'an Xia,Yuan Wei,Wenjuan Wu,Xuelei Xie,Wen Yin,Li Hui,Min Liu,Yan Xiao,Hong Gao,Li Guo,Jungang Xie,Guang-Fa Wang,Rongmeng Jiang,Zhancheng Gao,Qi Jin,Jianwei Wang,Bin Cao +28 more