Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Marc Lipsitch,Ted Cohen,Ben S. Cooper,James M. Robins,Stefan Ma,Lyn James,Gowri Gopalakrishna,Suok Kai Chew,Chorh Chuan Tan,Matthew H. Samore,David N. Fisman,Megan Murray +11 more
TLDR
It is estimated that a single infectious case of SARS will infect about three secondary cases in a population that has not yet instituted control measures, and public-health efforts to reduce transmission are expected to have a substantial impact on reducing the size of the epidemic.Abstract:
Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a recently described illness of humans that has spread widely over the past 6 months. With the use of detailed epidemiologic data from Singapore and epidemic curves from other settings, we estimated the reproductive number for SARS in the absence of interventions and in the presence of control efforts. We estimate that a single infectious case of SARS will infect about three secondary cases in a population that has not yet instituted control measures. Public-health efforts to reduce transmission are expected to have a substantial impact on reducing the size of the epidemic.read more
Citations
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Insights into the Recent 2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) in Light of Past Human Coronavirus Outbreaks
TL;DR: Wang et al. as mentioned in this paper discuss structure, genome organization, entry of CoVs into target cells, and provide insights into past and present outbreaks of human CoV outbreaks and develop efficient prevention and treatment strategies to deal with this continuous threat.
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A Systematic Review of COVID-19 Epidemiology Based on Current Evidence.
TL;DR: A systematic review of the published literature and preprints on the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak following predefined eligibility criteria found that there is an urgent need for rigorous research focusing on the mitigation efforts to minimize the impact on society.
Journal ArticleDOI
Epidemiology, transmission dynamics and control of SARS: the 2002-2003 epidemic
Roy M. Anderson,Christophe Fraser,Azra C. Ghani,Christl A. Donnelly,Steven Riley,Neil M. Ferguson,Gabriel M. Leung,Tai Hing Lam,Anthony J. Hedley +8 more
TL;DR: It is concluded that the SARS epidemic was lucky this time round, but may not be so with the next epidemic outbreak of a novel aetiological agent.
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Coupled disease–behavior dynamics on complex networks: A review
TL;DR: It is discussed how these models can capture the dynamics that characterize many real-world scenarios, thereby suggesting ways that policy makers can better design effective prevention strategies and pitfalls which might be faced by researchers in the field.
Journal ArticleDOI
Estimating Individual and Household Reproduction Numbers in an Emerging Epidemic
TL;DR: It is argued that the household reproduction number is useful in assessing the impact of measures that target the household for isolation, quarantine, vaccination or prophylactic treatment, and measures such as social distancing and school or workplace closures which limit between-household transmission, all of which play a key role in current thinking on future infectious disease mitigation.
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