Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Marc Lipsitch,Ted Cohen,Ben S. Cooper,James M. Robins,Stefan Ma,Lyn James,Gowri Gopalakrishna,Suok Kai Chew,Chorh Chuan Tan,Matthew H. Samore,David N. Fisman,Megan Murray +11 more
TLDR
It is estimated that a single infectious case of SARS will infect about three secondary cases in a population that has not yet instituted control measures, and public-health efforts to reduce transmission are expected to have a substantial impact on reducing the size of the epidemic.Abstract:
Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a recently described illness of humans that has spread widely over the past 6 months. With the use of detailed epidemiologic data from Singapore and epidemic curves from other settings, we estimated the reproductive number for SARS in the absence of interventions and in the presence of control efforts. We estimate that a single infectious case of SARS will infect about three secondary cases in a population that has not yet instituted control measures. Public-health efforts to reduce transmission are expected to have a substantial impact on reducing the size of the epidemic.read more
Citations
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Coronavirus Occurrence in the Household Influenza Vaccine Evaluation (HIVE) Cohort of Michigan Households: Reinfection Frequency and Serologic Responses to Seasonal and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronaviruses.
Joshua G. Petrie,Latifa Bazzi,Adrian B. McDermott,Dean Follmann,Dominic Esposito,Christian Hatcher,Allyson Mateja,Sandeep Narpala,Sarah O’Connell,Emily T. Martin,Arnold S. Monto +10 more
TL;DR: This article investigated the frequency of reinfection with seasonal human coronavirus (HCoVs) and serum antibody response following infection over 8 years in the Household Influenza Vaccine Evaluation (HIVE) cohort.
Journal ArticleDOI
Evaluation of measures to reduce international spread of SARS
Kathryn Glass,Niels G. Becker +1 more
TL;DR: While the control response is being developed in a currently uninfected region, border screening can provide up to one week's additional time in which to improve methods for early isolation of cases.
Journal ArticleDOI
How did governmental interventions affect the spread of COVID-19 in European countries?
Richard A. J. Post,Marta Regis,Zhuozhao Zhan,Edwin R. van den Heuvel,Edwin R. van den Heuvel +4 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined how the effective contact rate (ECR), the mean number of daily contacts for an infectious individual to transmit the virus, among European citizens evolved during this wave over the period with implemented measures, disregarding a priori information on governmental measures.
Journal ArticleDOI
Meta-Analysis on Serial Intervals and Reproductive Rates for SARS-CoV-2.
Mohammad H. Hussein,Eman A. Toraih,Eman A. Toraih,Rami M. Elshazli,Manal S. Fawzy,Manal S. Fawzy,August Houghton,Danielle Tatum,Mary Killackey,Emad Kandil,Juan Duchesne +10 more
TL;DR: The study findings indicate that one SARS-CoV-2-infected person is likely to infect 3 persons, supporting that COVID-19 is a highly contagious disease.
Modeling the invasion and spread of contagious diseases in heterogeneous populations.
Wayne M. Getz,James O. Lloyd-Smith,Paul C. Cross,Shirli Bar-David,Philip L. F. Johnson,Travis C. Porco,Marís S. Sánchez +6 more
TL;DR: This chapter builds on the basic methodologies outlined in the previous chapter to address the question of how to model the invasion and spread of diseases in heterogeneous environments, without making an explicit link to natural selection.
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