University of California, Santa Cruz

About: University of California, Santa Cruz is a education organization based out in Santa Cruz, California, United States. It is known for research contribution in the topics: Galaxy & Population. The organization has 15541 authors who have published 44120 publications receiving 2759983 citations. The organization is also known as: UCSC & UC, Santa Cruz.

Dynamical effects of the cosmological constant.

Abstract: The possibility of measuring the density parameter OMEGA-0 and the cosmological constant lambda-0 = LAMBDA/(3H0(2)) using dynamical tests is explored in linear and non-linear theory. In linear theory we find that the rate of growth of the perturbations at the present epoch is approximated by f(z = 0) almost-equal-to-OMEGA-0(0.6) + 1/70 lambda-0(1 + 1/2 OMEGA-0). Therefore, dynamical tests such as infall around clusters and dipoles at the present epoch do not distinguish well between universes with and without a cosmological constant. At higher redshifts, the perturbations also depend mainly on the matter density at a particular epoch, f(z) almost-equal-to OMEGA-0.6(z), which has a strong dependence on lambda-0 at z almost-equal-to 0.5-2.0. Therefore, information on both parameters can be obtained by looking at clustering at different redshifts. In practice, however, the other observables also depend on the cosmology, and in some cases conspire to give a weak dependence on lambda-0. By using the non-linear spherical infall model for a family of Cold Dark Matter (CDM) power-spectra we also find that dynamics at z = 0 does not tell much about lambda-0. At higher redshifts there is unfortunately another conspiracy between conventional observables, which hides information about lambda-0. The final radius of a virialized cluster (relative to the turnaround radius) is approximated by R(f)/R(ta) almost-equal-to (1 - eta/2)/(2 - eta/2), where eta is the ratio of LAMBDA to the density at turn-around. Therefore a repulsive-LAMBDA gives a smaller final radius than a vanishing-LAMBDA.

Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?

Abstract: Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination have focused upon a narrow set of models typically of the 1970's vintage. The canonical papers in this literature are by Meese and Rogoff (1983, 1988), who examined monetary and portfolio balance models. Succeeding works by Mark (1995) and Chinn and Meese (1995) focused on similar models. In this paper we re-assess exchange rate prediction using a wider set of models that have been proposed in the last decade: interest rate parity, productivity based models, and behavioral equilibrium exchange rate' models. The performance of these models is compared against a benchmark model the Dornbusch-Frankel sticky price monetary model. The models are estimated in error correction and first-difference specifications. Rather than estimating the cointegrating vector over the entire sample and treating it as part of the ex ante information set as is commonly done in the literature, we recursively update the cointegrating vector, thereby generating true ex ante forecasts. We examine model performance at various forecast horizons (1 quarter, 4 quarters, 20 quarters) using differing metrics (mean squared error, direction of change), as well as the consistency' test of Cheung and Chinn (1998). No model consistently outperforms a random walk, by a mean squared error measure; however, along a direction-of-change dimension, certain structural models do outperform a random walk with statistical significance. Moreover, one finds that these forecasts are cointegrated with the actual values of exchange rates, although in a large number of cases, the elasticity of the forecasts with respect to the actual values is different from unity. Overall, model/specification/currency combinations that work well in one period will not necessarily work well in another period.

Moving in the Anthropocene : global reductions in terrestrial mammalian movements

Abstract: Animal movement is fundamental for ecosystem functioning and species survival, yet the effects of the anthropogenic footprint on animal movements have not been estimated across species. Using a unique GPS-tracking database of 803 individuals across 57 species, we found that movements of mammals in areas with a comparatively high human footprint were on average one-half to one-third the extent of their movements in areas with a low human footprint. We attribute this reduction to behavioral changes of individual animals and to the exclusion of species with long-range movements from areas with higher human impact. Global loss of vagility alters a key ecological trait of animals that affects not only population persistence but also ecosystem processes such as predator-prey interactions, nutrient cycling, and disease transmission.

The complete sequence of a human genome

Abstract: Since its initial release in 2000, the human reference genome has covered only the euchromatic fraction of the genome, leaving important heterochromatic regions unfinished. Addressing the remaining 8% of the genome, the Telomere-to-Telomere (T2T) Consortium presents a complete 3.055 billion-base pair sequence of a human genome, T2T-CHM13, that includes gapless assemblies for all chromosomes except Y, corrects errors in the prior references, and introduces nearly 200 million base pairs of sequence containing 1956 gene predictions, 99 of which are predicted to be protein coding. The completed regions include all centromeric satellite arrays, recent segmental duplications, and the short arms of all five acrocentric chromosomes, unlocking these complex regions of the genome to variational and functional studies.