Extinction risk from climate change
Chris D. Thomas,Alison Cameron,Rhys E. Green,Rhys E. Green,Michel Bakkenes,Linda J. Beaumont,Yvonne C. Collingham,Barend F.N. Erasmus,Marinez Ferreira de Siqueira,Alan Grainger,Lee Hannah,Lesley Hughes,Brian Huntley,Albert S. van Jaarsveld,Guy F. Midgley,Lera Miles,Lera Miles,Miguel A. Ortega-Huerta,A. Townsend Peterson,Oliver L. Phillips,Stephen E. Williams +20 more
TLDR
Estimates of extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.Abstract:
Climate change over the past approximately 30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15-37% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be 'committed to extinction'. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction ( approximately 18%) than mid-range ( approximately 24%) and maximum-change ( approximately 35%) scenarios. These estimates show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Species-area relationships explained by the joint effects of dispersal limitation and habitat heterogeneity.
TL;DR: It is suggested that heterogeneous habitat and dispersal limitation are two predominant mechanisms for maintaining the spatial distributions of the species in these two forests.
MonographDOI
Birds and Climate Change: Impacts and Conservation Responses
TL;DR: A review of the existing impacts of climate change on birds, including changes in the timing of migration and breeding and effects on bird populations around the world can be found in this article.
Journal ArticleDOI
Conservation and climate change: Assessing the vulnerability of snow leopard habitat to treeline shift in the Himalaya
Jessica L. Forrest,Eric Wikramanayake,Rinjan Shrestha,Rinjan Shrestha,G. Areendran,Kinley Gyeltshen,Aishwarya Maheshwari,Sraboni Mazumdar,Robin Naidoo,Gokarna Jung Thapa,Kamal Thapa +10 more
TL;DR: In this article, a hybrid approach to climate-adaptive conservation landscape planning for snow leopards in the Himalayan Mountains was developed. But, the authors did not consider the impact of climate change on the distribution of snow leopard habitat and linkages.
Journal ArticleDOI
Water links the historical and contemporary components of the Australian bird diversity gradient
TL;DR: The contemporary bird richness gradient contains a historical signal and reflects the effects of both current levels of water availability as well as changes in rainfall patterns extending over evolutionary time.
Journal ArticleDOI
Combining static and dynamic variables in species distribution models under climate change
TL;DR: The results demonstrate the importance of including static and dynamic non-climate variables in addition to climate variables in species distribution models designed to predict future change in a species' habitat or distribution as a result of climate change.
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