Extinction risk from climate change
Chris D. Thomas,Alison Cameron,Rhys E. Green,Rhys E. Green,Michel Bakkenes,Linda J. Beaumont,Yvonne C. Collingham,Barend F.N. Erasmus,Marinez Ferreira de Siqueira,Alan Grainger,Lee Hannah,Lesley Hughes,Brian Huntley,Albert S. van Jaarsveld,Guy F. Midgley,Lera Miles,Lera Miles,Miguel A. Ortega-Huerta,A. Townsend Peterson,Oliver L. Phillips,Stephen E. Williams +20 more
TLDR
Estimates of extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.Abstract:
Climate change over the past approximately 30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15-37% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be 'committed to extinction'. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction ( approximately 18%) than mid-range ( approximately 24%) and maximum-change ( approximately 35%) scenarios. These estimates show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.read more
Citations
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Global priority areas for ecosystem restoration
Bernardo B. N. Strassburg,Alvaro Iribarrem,Alvaro Iribarrem,Hawthorne L. Beyer,Carlos Leandro Cordeiro,Carlos Leandro Cordeiro,Renato Crouzeilles,Renato Crouzeilles,Renato Crouzeilles,Catarina C. Jakovac,Catarina C. Jakovac,Catarina C. Jakovac,André Braga Junqueira,André Braga Junqueira,André Braga Junqueira,Eduardo Lacerda,Eduardo Lacerda,Eduardo Lacerda,Agnieszka E. Latawiec,Andrew Balmford,Thomas M. Brooks,Thomas M. Brooks,Thomas M. Brooks,Stuart H. M. Butchart,Stuart H. M. Butchart,Robin L. Chazdon,Karl-Heinz Erb,Pedro H. S. Brancalion,Graeme M. Buchanan,David Cooper,Sandra Díaz,Paul F. Donald,Paul F. Donald,Paul F. Donald,Valerie Kapos,David Leclère,Lera Miles,Michael Obersteiner,Michael Obersteiner,Christoph Plutzar,Christoph Plutzar,Carlos Alberto de Mattos Scaramuzza,Fabio Rubio Scarano,Piero Visconti +43 more
TL;DR: It is found that restoring 15% of converted lands in priority areas could avoid 60% of expected extinctions while sequestering 299 gigatonnes of CO 2 —30% of the total CO 2 increase in the atmosphere since the Industrial Revolution.
Journal ArticleDOI
Direct impacts of recent climate warming on insect populations.
Christelle Robinet,Alain Roques +1 more
TL;DR: The key impacts of global warming on insect development and dispersal are reviewed, including earlier flight periods, enhanced winter survival and acceleration of development rates are the major insect responses.
Journal ArticleDOI
Impacts of climate warming and habitat loss on extinctions at species' low‐latitude range boundaries
Aldina M. A. Franco,Jane K. Hill,Claudia Kitschke,Yvonne C. Collingham,David B. Roy,Richard Fox,Brian Huntley,Chris D. Thomas +7 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors surveyed the four species of butterflies that reach their southern limits in Britain and found that the southern/warm range margins of some species are as sensitive to climate change as are northern/cool margins.
Journal ArticleDOI
Eco-evolutionary conservation biology: contemporary evolution and the dynamics of persistence
TL;DR: An eco-evolutionary perspective suggests that the focus is expanded beyond the acute problems of threatened populations and growing invasions, to consider how contemporary evolutionary mechanics contribute to such problems in the first place or affect their resolution.
Journal ArticleDOI
Assessing the effects of pseudo-absences on predictive distribution model performance
Rosa M. Chefaoui,Jorge M. Lobo +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors compared seven procedures to generate pseudo-absence data, which in turn were used to generate GLM-logistic regressed models when reliable absence data are not available.
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